POINTS PER GAME

[Perton Pitman]

Kempston have six games left, my money's on relegation

Can two teams from the same division be reprieved on PPG??? From what Keith has previously said reprieves are only available to those clubs that finish next to bottom of their respective division.

[PitmanKeith]

Kempston have six games left, my money's on relegation

Can two teams from the same division be reprieved on PPG??? From what Keith has previously said reprieves are only available to those clubs that finish next to bottom of their respective division.

Correct mate reprieve only applies to next to.bottom sides.

[Perton Pitman]

That helps us I guess - just got to ensure we finish up with a better record that Grantham.

[Pete1880]

How is it looking after todays results

[Perton Pitman]

Grantham won with a 96th minute winner. Luckily everyone else that we should be worrying about did worse than us. All eyes on the NPL East Division from now on.

[Pete1880]

Thank you Perton x

[PitmanKeith]

If Grantham get the 5 points they need to overhaul us, more if we pick up more points, they probably won't finish next to bottom. So I'd also be keeping a keen eye on Winterton Rangers, Ossett Utd and Brighouse, any of these four can finish next bottom that league is so tight.
I'm also hoping Thame Utd (Southern 1 Central) have a poor end to the season, if we pick up two points more than them in the run in it would swing us into first place.

[Perton Pitman]

The run in

Winterton 25 PTS
Stockton (H)
Ashington (A)
Dunston (A)
Grantham (H)

Grantham 28 PTS
Liversedge (A)
Ashington (A)
Sheffield (A)
Winterton (A)

Ossett 29 PTS
North Ferriby (H)
Carlton (A)
Bridlington (A)
Cleethorpes (H)

Brighouse 30 PTS
Pontefract (H)
Consett (A)
Stockton (A)
Carlton (H)

I reckon 1 more win will see us finish above 2 of these teams and that will be enough, especially with our superior goal difference

[PitmanKeith]

The run in

Winterton 25 PTS
Stockton (H)
Ashington (A)
Dunston (A)
Grantham (H)

Grantham 28 PTS
Liversedge (A)
Ashington (A)
Sheffield (A)
Winterton (A)

Ossett 29 PTS
North Ferriby (H)
Carlton (A)
Bridlington (A)
Cleethorpes (H)

Brighouse 30 PTS
Pontefract (H)
Consett (A)
Stockton (A)
Carlton (H)

I reckon 1 more win will see us finish above 2 of these teams and that will be enough, especially with our superior goal difference

What about all the other leagues?

I'll be putting an update on later I reckon there are 37 teams still in danger of finishing next to bottom across all eight step 4 divisions, it ain't over by a long way. But the ball is still in our court to get enough points to finish 3rd bottom.

[PitmanKeith]

1. Barton Rovers. (SLC) 1.290
2. Hertford Town. (SLC) 1.281
3. Aylesbury Utd. (SLC) 1.188
4. Kidsgrove Ath (NPLW) 1.147
5. Kidlington (SLC) 1.097
6. Vauxhall Motors (NPLW) 1.086
7. Trafford (NPLW) 1.029
8. Melksham (SLS) 1.000
9. Bridlington (NPLE) 0.971
10.Shepshed (NPLM) 0.970
11. Thame Utd. (SLC) 0.969
12. Exmouth (SLS) 0.938
13. Hednesford (NPLW).0.914
14. Guernsey (ILSC) 0.914
15. Met Police (ILSC) 0.914
16. Coventry Sphinx (NPLM) 0.911
17. Phoenix Sports (ILSE) 0.911
18. Westbury Utd. (SLS) 0.900
19. Brighouse (NPLE) 0.882
20. Ossett Utd. (NPLE) 0.879
21. East Grinstead (ILSE) 0.879
22. Littlehampton (ILSE) 0.879
23. Kempston R (SLC) 0.879
24. Cambridge City (NPLM) 0.857
25. Ashford Town (ILSC) 0.833
26. Grantham Town (NPLE) 0.824
27. Chipstead (ILSC) 0.784
28. Gresley R (NPLM) 0.742
29. Winterton Rang. (NPLE) 0.735
30. AFC Rushden (NPLM) 0.714
31. Rugby (NPLM) 0.714
32. Paulton R (SLS) 0.656
33. Berkhampstead (ILSE) 0.647
34. Erith & Belvedere (ILSE) 0.617
35. Binfield (ILSC) 0.576
36. Corinthian Casuals (ILSC)
37. Stowmarket (ILN) 0.188


Technically all 37 above could finish next to bottom in their respective leagues.
Italics signifies unlikely
Normal text signifies very possible
Bold signifies teams currently occupying next to bottom places.

[Perton Pitman]

The run in

Winterton 25 PTS
Stockton (H)
Ashington (A)
Dunston (A)
Grantham (H)

Grantham 28 PTS
Liversedge (A)
Ashington (A)
Sheffield (A)
Winterton (A)

Ossett 29 PTS
North Ferriby (H)
Carlton (A)
Bridlington (A)
Cleethorpes (H)

Brighouse 30 PTS
Pontefract (H)
Consett (A)
Stockton (A)
Carlton (H)

I reckon 1 more win will see us finish above 2 of these teams and that will be enough, especially with our superior goal difference

What about all the other leagues?

I'll be putting an update on later I reckon there are 37 teams still in danger of finishing next to bottom across all eight step 4 divisions, it ain't over by a long way. But the ball is still in our court to get enough points to finish 3rd bottom.

The other leagues are irrelevant in my humble opinion. We only have to worry about finishing ahead of the second bottom placed team in the NPL East. With the exception of the SL Central, the teams that are likely to finish second bottom in the other step 4 leagues have virtually no chance of matching our PPG tally.

[Perton Pitman]

Liversedge v grantham tomorrow night !

[PitmanKeith]

We can alleviate this issue simply by picking up two wins in our last three games, we shouldn't be relying on others

[Oilman]

What's the increase in PPG when someone draws or wins.

[PitmanKeith]

What's the increase in PPG when someone draws or wins.

Over 3 or 4 games with season average results minimal.

If we won our last three it would increase to 1.039
If we lose our last three it would decrease to 0.842
If we average a point a game we would finish with 0.921

For PP's benefit if say Grantham won their last four games it would increase to 1.000

If they lost their last four it would decrease to 0.700

If they get eight points from their last four they will finish with 0.900

[Lee K]

I’m still not reading this thread.

[Oilman]

So looking at that a win should be sufficient to finish above Grantham ? as can't see them winning all 4.

[PitmanKeith]

Thame Utd won 3-0 last night to extend their lead in the PPG race. This puts them level on points with Kidlington in their league but below them still in second bottom on goal difference.
Liversedge v Grantham was postponed

Looks like we are fighting for second place chaps.

[Perton Pitman]

The run in

Winterton 25 PTS
Stockton (H)
Ashington (A)
Dunston (A)
Grantham (H)

Grantham 28 PTS
Liversedge (A)
Ashington (A)
Sheffield (A)
Winterton (A)

Ossett 29 PTS
North Ferriby (H)
Carlton (A)
Bridlington (A)
Cleethorpes (H)

Brighouse 30 PTS
Pontefract (H)
Consett (A)
Stockton (A)
Carlton (H)

I reckon 1 more win will see us finish above 2 of these teams and that will be enough, especially with our superior goal difference

After today Grantham have 31pts, Ossett 32, brighouse 30 and Winterton 28. All have 3 games left with the exception of Ossett who have 4.

[sheriff]

shoudn't even think about we aint taking no more points this season

[PitmanKeith]

Screenshot_20240414_192116_Drive.jpg

Up to and inc Sat 13th April 2024

[pitmanpipe]

The bit of hope is Brighouse have 1st & 5th to play in their final 3 games, 11th place being the other

[PitmanKeith]

The bit of hope is Brighouse have 1st & 5th to play in their final 3 games, 11th place being the other

Also they've only picked up ONE point from their last available 24 and haven't won a league match since Jan 23rd.

[Perton Pitman]

...but then we have to rely on either Winterton or grantham not picking up enough points to surpass us. They are bigger threats than Brighouse and they have to play each other on the last day of the season and you have to think that if either, or both, need to win to go past us then it will be less likely to end in stalemate

[Perton Pitman]

Ashington v Winterton tomorrow night